SD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
CAD
3 - 1
SDC
42%
22%
36%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SDC
2 - 0
ALG
83%
11%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MAL
4 - 2
SDC
39%
22%
39%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SDC
3 - 1
EST
83%
10%
7%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SDC
4 - 1
CAA
71%
15%
14%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
RJA
4 - 1
BET
61%
19%
20%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
UDE
2 - 1
RJA
52%
21%
26%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
RJA
2 - 0
SFE
67%
17%
17%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
XER
1 - 1
RJA
67%
17%
16%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
RJA
6 - 1
UTR
80%
12%
9%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |