Atl. Nacional vs San Francisco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
UDP
1 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 3
IDC
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OES
0 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
UFC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HFC
0 - 0
NAC
10%
18%
71%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 0
OES
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 0
UDP
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 6
SFF
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 2
IDC
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 0
SAP
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |