Atl. Nacional vs San Francisco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
OES
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AZU
0 - 2
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 3
COL
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
SUN
0 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
SFF
3 - 0
UDP
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |