Atl. Nacional vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OES
0 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
UFC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HFC
0 - 0
NAC
10%
18%
71%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDU
0 - 2
NAC
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
AFM
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
IDC
1 - 1
UDP
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 2
IDC
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 1
IDC
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
IDC
4 - 0
VCD
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
SAP
3 - 3
IDC
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |