Amanecer vs Zacande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 0
AMA
31%
25%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
ARC
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 2
AMA
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 0
USD
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
AMA
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zacande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 3
MOR
20%
21%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 2
ZAC
50%
24%
26%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 2
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
ZAC
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ZAC
3 - 0
CUN
34%
24%
42%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |