Amanecer vs Zacande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
1 - 2
AMA
41%
24%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 2
UMI
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BUE
3 - 1
AMA
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 0
NOA
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POI
0 - 1
AMA
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zacande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UMI
2 - 1
ZAC
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 4
NOA
63%
20%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
ZAC
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ZAC
0 - 2
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 2
ZAC
33%
23%
43%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |