Amanecer vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
AMA
60%
20%
20%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 0
AMA
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARC
35%
23%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
5 - 2
AMA
39%
24%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 1
CUN
60%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
GUA
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 4
MOR
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 3
CAS
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CUN
3 - 0
MOR
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
LGU
16%
20%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |