Amanecer vs Arcade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+269%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ZAC
0 - 0
AMA
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
5 - 0
MOS
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UMI
1 - 2
AMA
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
BUE
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NOA
1 - 3
AMA
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
MOS
25%
22%
52%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BUE
2 - 1
ARC
61%
20%
19%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
POI
48%
23%
29%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
ARC
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 2
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |