Kilb vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
10º
14º
10º
31
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SVG
5 - 2
SCU
84%
12%
4%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 0
LAN
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 2
ARD
15%
22%
64%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
WAI
2 - 0
SCU
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
SCU
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
STP
0 - 0
ARD
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
STP
49%
21%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WAI
2 - 1
STP
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
STP
1 - 1
SVH
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 0
STP
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |