Kilb vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
15º
5º
42
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 65 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 46 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
58.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
MKO
1 - 1
SCU
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
WIE
3 - 1
SCU
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 4
RAP
4%
12%
84%
|
20 | 80 | 60 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SCU
2 - 1
ZWE
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
SCU
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 2
SVH
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SCR
5 - 3
SVW
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 8
ELE
12%
19%
69%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SVG
3 - 0
SCR
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 68 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
SCU
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |