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Austria Fourth Division. Baja Austria, Matchday 18

Kilb Kremser SC
7 ELO 15
52% Tilt 124%
8345º General ELO ranking 6085º
183º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Kilb
19.3%
Draw
45.6%
Kremser SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
Kilb
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
15.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
45.6%
Win probability
Kremser SC
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.4%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kilb
+53%
+52%
Kremser SC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mannersdorf
0
18
13º
5%
Spratzern
0
21
12º
6%
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
0
33
10%
Kilb
0
31
7%
SC Retz
0
34
6%
Zwettl
0
23
11º
7%
Ardagger
0
36
6%
Waidhofen / Thaya
0
18
14º
8%
Schrems
0
28
7%
Langenrohr
10º
0
25
7%
Ortmann
11º
0
25
10º
6%
Kottingbrunn
12º
0
27
6%
Kremser SC
13º
0
26
6%
Rohrbach
14º
0
17
15º
7%
St. Pölten II
15º
0
34
4%
Expected probabilities
Kilb
Kremser SC
Champion
8% 7%
Mid-table
92% 93%

ELO progression

Kremser SC
KRE
Kilb
SCU
Kottingbrunn
KOT
Waidhofen / Thaya
WAI
St. Pölten II
STP
Zwettl
ZWE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilb
Kilb
1%
X%
2%
ELO SCU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
SCH
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
3 - 0
Kilb
SCU
47%
27%
26%
129 203 74 -1
10 Oct. 2020
SCR
SC Retz
4 - 0
Kilb
SCU
42%
28%
31%
251 127 -124 +2

Matches

Kremser SC
Kremser SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO KRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2020
KRE
Kremser SC
2 - 0
Ortmann
SCO
45%
27%
28%
211 264 -53 +1
26 Oct. 2020
KRE
Kremser SC
3 - 1
Kottingbrunn
KOT
44%
27%
29%
210 311 -101 +1
23 Oct. 2020
SVR
Rohrbach
1 - 2
Kremser SC
KRE
41%
28%
31%
209 138 -71 +1
17 Oct. 2020
KRE
Kremser SC
1 - 0
Spratzern
SPR
47%
27%
26%
208 109 99 +1
09 Oct. 2020
ARD
Ardagger
0 - 1
Kremser SC
KRE
42%
28%
31%
207 101 -106 +1