Kilb vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
8º
31
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 69 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 64 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 51 |
5º
|
91.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 36 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
15º
|
85.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
SCU
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 0
SCO
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
SCU
3 - 1
KOT
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
WAI
0 - 2
SCU
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 1
SVR
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 0
STP
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARD
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 2
ARD
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 1
AUS
10%
18%
72%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
ARD
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |