Kilb vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SCO
0 - 2
SCU
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SCU
2 - 0
SVR
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
ASV
3 - 1
SCU
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SCU
3 - 0
MAN
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SPR
2 - 0
SCU
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 1
ZWE
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
KOT
0 - 0
ARD
38%
25%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 0
KRE
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SCO
0 - 0
ARD
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
2 - 0
SVR
52%
25%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |