Romanian Liga I Normal Season Round 25

Argeș Pitești vs Farul Constanța analysis

Argeș Pitești Farul Constanța
67 ELO 77
-3.6% Tilt -13.5%
1266º General ELO ranking 849º
20º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
24.8%
Argeș Pitești
26.7%
Draw
48.5%
Farul Constanța

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
Argeș Pitești
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.5%
Win probability
Farul Constanța
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Argeș Pitești
+29%
+3%
Farul Constanța

Points and table prediction

Argeș Pitești
Their league position
Farul Constanța
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
15º
15º
64
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Farul Constanța
64
64
100%
CFR Cluj
63
63
100%
FCSB
57
57
100%
Universitatea Craiova
54
54
100%
FC Rapid Bucuresti
52
52
100%
Sepsi
42
42
100%
Hermannstadt
11º
32
41
100%
U Craiova 1948
40
40
100%
Petrolul Ploiesti
36
36
100%
Voluntari
34
34
10º
0%
Universitatea Cluj
10º
34
34
11º
0%
Chindia Târgovişte
12º
32
32
12º
0%
Botosani
13º
32
32
13º
0%
UTA Arad
14º
27
27
14º
0%
Argeș Pitești
15º
27
27
15º
0%
Mioveni
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Argeș Pitești
Farul Constanța
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Argeș Pitești
Farul Constanța
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argeș Pitești
Argeș Pitești
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
HER
Hermannstadt
1 - 1
Argeș Pitești
SCM
55%
26%
19%
67 71 4 0
29 Jan. 2023
SCM
Argeș Pitești
0 - 2
Botosani
BOT
31%
27%
42%
68 74 6 -1
23 Jan. 2023
CHI
Chindia Târgovişte
1 - 1
Argeș Pitești
SCM
46%
28%
26%
68 69 1 0
10 Jan. 2023
SFC
Farul Constanța
4 - 1
Argeș Pitești
SCM
66%
20%
14%
67 77 10 +1
18 Dec. 2022
SCM
Argeș Pitești
2 - 2
Mioveni
MIO
53%
26%
22%
68 63 5 -1

Matches

Farul Constanța
Farul Constanța
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2023
SFC
Farul Constanța
2 - 1
Universitatea Craiova
CSU
42%
26%
32%
77 78 1 0
29 Jan. 2023
STB
FCSB
2 - 3
Farul Constanța
SFC
52%
23%
24%
76 78 2 +1
23 Jan. 2023
SFC
Farul Constanța
0 - 3
CFR Cluj
CLU
45%
26%
29%
77 79 2 -1
14 Jan. 2023
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Farul Constanța
SFC
48%
25%
27%
77 79 2 0
10 Jan. 2023
SFC
Farul Constanța
4 - 1
Argeș Pitești
SCM
66%
20%
14%
77 67 10 0