SW Bregenz vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
10º
39
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 43 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
51% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 24 |
15º
|
90.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 18 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
IMS
2 - 0
SWB
62%
18%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
SWB
0 - 2
ULM
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SWB
2 - 0
RTB
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SWB
0 - 0
BIS
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
REI
0 - 3
SWB
37%
24%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
VOI
1 - 2
VIE
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 1
FAV
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
LAS
4 - 2
VIE
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 0
FCB
13%
17%
69%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
VIE
5 - 0
DRA
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |