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Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 18

Schotz vs Zug 94 analysis

Schotz Zug 94
17 ELO 10
4% Tilt -1%
7597º General ELO ranking 10641º
55º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
48.7%
Schotz
26.5%
Draw
24.8%
Zug 94

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
Schotz
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.8%
Win probability
Zug 94
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schotz
+10%
+9%
Zug 94

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biel-Bienne
35
55
32%
Baden
31
52
25%
Solothurn
22
47
21%
Bassecourt
20
37
9%
Luzern II
19
39
8%
Wohlen
19
38
9%
Langenthal
19
41
8%
Zug 94
19
34
9%
Delemont
16
37
8%
Grasshoppers II
10º
15
34
10º
10%
Schotz
11º
11
27
11º
13%
Buochs
12º
11
24
13º
14%
Muttenz
13º
11
26
12º
14%
Goldau
14º
6
18
14º
36%
Expected probabilities
Schotz
Zug 94
Champion
0% 3%
Promotion playoffs
1% 4%
Mid-table
70% 82%
Relegation
29% 11%

ELO progression

Schotz
SCH
Zug 94
ZUG
Luzern II
LUZ
Langenthal
LAN
Biel-Bienne
BIE
Buochs
BUO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schotz
Schotz
1%
X%
2%
ELO SCH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2021
SCH
Schotz
1 - 2
Bassecourt
BAS
47%
27%
26%
239 90 149 0
19 Jun. 2021
GOL
Goldau
7 - 3
Schotz
SCH
39%
28%
34%
239 73 -166 0
12 Jun. 2021
SCH
Schotz
2 - 1
Luzern II
LUZ
47%
27%
26%
239 211 28 0
23 Jun. 2021
SOL
Solothurn
2 - 1
Schotz
SCH
42%
28%
30%
239 179 -60 0
17 Oct. 2020
BUO
Buochs
1 - 2
Schotz
SCH
44%
27%
29%
239 150 -89 +1

Matches

Zug 94
Zug 94
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZUG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2021
ZUG
Zug 94
2 - 1
Solothurn
SOL
46%
27%
27%
148 179 -31 0
19 Jun. 2021
BIE
Biel-Bienne
4 - 1
Zug 94
ZUG
47%
27%
26%
148 194 46 0
13 Jun. 2021
ZUG
Zug 94
2 - 1
Grasshoppers II
GRA
45%
27%
27%
148 159 -11 0
24 Oct. 2020
WOH
Wohlen
3 - 1
Zug 94
ZUG
47%
27%
26%
149 228 79 -1
17 Oct. 2020
ZUG
Zug 94
0 - 2
Baden
BAD
44%
27%
29%
150 247 -97 -1