Schotz vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
1º
12
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 61 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 56 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 56 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
72% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schotz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 0
CON
47%
23%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
SCH
38%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
BLA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
LAC
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 0
FCM
45%
21%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 1
DIE
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 3
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 2
BAS
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
4 - 3
FCM
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |