Schott Mainz vs VfB Bodenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
PIR
3 - 0
SMA
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 4
STU
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GIE
5 - 0
SMA
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 3
ULM
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 3
SMA
29%
21%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |