Schott Mainz vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HES
2 - 1
SMA
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SMA
4 - 2
EIN
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
HES
1 - 1
SMA
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
WWO
4 - 1
SMA
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
EDD
3 - 1
SMA
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 0
STU
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GIE
1 - 2
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
KAI
1 - 1
HOM
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 1
BAH
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
VFR
1 - 3
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |