Schott Mainz vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
65.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
STE
4 - 0
SMA
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 1
BAL
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
HOF
3 - 1
SMA
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 4
OFC
19%
22%
60%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SGS
1 - 4
SMA
64%
19%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 1
STU
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GIE
1 - 2
FRE
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 3
FRE
9%
17%
73%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
PIR
75%
16%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
STE
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |