Schott Mainz vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
2º
1º
46
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schott Mainz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 2
SMA
23%
22%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 2
AUE
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MEC
1 - 5
SMA
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
0 - 0
SMA
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
PFE
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 0
ENG
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 0
GON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 3
DIE
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DUD
3 - 2
DIE
18%
19%
64%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 2
HWI
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |