Progresso vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 1
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAT
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
USR
3 - 2
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
LEN
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MEZ
0 - 0
BSD
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
2 - 1
MEZ
62%
19%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
COR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
MEZ
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEZ
0 - 1
ACA
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |