Progresso vs Breno Futura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 1
PRO
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 0
SAV
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRO
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ADR
2 - 2
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
COR
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Breno Futura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
COR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
0 - 1
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
FIO
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 2
MAN
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MEZ
0 - 0
BRE
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |