Serie D Group D Round 16

Progresso vs Prato analysis

Progresso Prato
42 ELO 46
-27.6% Tilt -19.8%
5754º General ELO ranking 5201º
209º Country ELO ranking 187º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Progresso
26.5%
Draw
45.7%
Prato

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Progresso
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.7%
Win probability
Prato
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Progresso
+38%
-21%
Prato

Points and table prediction

Progresso
Their league position
Prato
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
18º
11º
42
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Forli
84
84
100%
Ravenna FC
74
74
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Tau Calcio
63
63
100%
Pistoiese
61
61
100%
Imolese
53
53
100%
Cittadella Vis Modena
47
47
100%
Prato
42
42
100%
Piacenza
42
42
0%
Tuttocuoio
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Progresso
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Zenith Prato
17º
23
38
12º
0%
San Marino Calcio
12º
38
38
13º
0%
Sasso Marconi
13º
37
37
14º
100%
Corticella
14º
36
36
15º
100%
Sammaurese
15º
31
31
16º
100%
Fiorenzuola
16º
26
26
17º
100%
Riccione
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Progresso
Prato
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Progresso
Prato
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Progresso
Progresso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
SAM
Sammaurese
1 - 2
Progresso
PRO
37%
28%
34%
41 39 2 0
01 Dec. 2024
PRO
Progresso
0 - 1
Lentigione
LEN
15%
24%
61%
41 54 13 0
24 Nov. 2024
PRO
Progresso
0 - 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
CIT
73%
17%
10%
41 13 28 0
17 Nov. 2024
FIO
Fiorenzuola
0 - 1
Progresso
PRO
60%
23%
18%
40 45 5 +1
10 Nov. 2024
PRO
Progresso
1 - 0
Tau Calcio
ASD
20%
24%
56%
38 53 15 +2

Matches

Prato
Prato
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
ACP
Prato
3 - 0
Corticella
COR
27%
25%
48%
44 48 4 0
01 Dec. 2024
CIT
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 - 0
Prato
ACP
12%
16%
72%
44 14 30 0
24 Nov. 2024
ACP
Prato
1 - 0
Zenith Prato
ZEN
75%
15%
10%
44 17 27 0
17 Nov. 2024
ASD
Tau Calcio
1 - 0
Prato
ACP
58%
22%
21%
44 53 9 0
10 Nov. 2024
ACP
Prato
1 - 1
Riccione
RIC
44%
25%
31%
44 40 4 0