Scarborough Athletic vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 3
SOU
14%
22%
64%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CLI
0 - 4
SCA
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 1
MAR
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
OSS
1 - 2
SCA
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 0
HYD
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 1
WOR
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 0
RFC
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
WIT
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 0
WOR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
WOR
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |