Scanzorosciate vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 0
SCA
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCA
5 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 3
SON
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
SCA
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
USB
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
USB
1 - 0
ADR
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
USB
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
USB
3 - 1
DES
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |