Scanzorosciate vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
SCA
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
SCA
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 1
CRE
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SON
1 - 1
SCA
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 3
FAN
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
ADR
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
DES
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |