Uganda Cup . Last 16
Global 1-0
SC Villa vs Onduparaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
OND
0 - 1
SCV
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SCV
1 - 1
BUL
50%
27%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
SCV
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SCV
0 - 0
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
KCC
1 - 0
SCV
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Onduparaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
OND
0 - 1
SCV
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 0
OND
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OND
0 - 1
KCC
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
OND
2 - 3
MYD
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
WAK
2 - 0
OND
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |