SC Villa vs Blacks Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
1º
26
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
52 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 2
SCV
40%
29%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
SCV
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 0
VIP
38%
28%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KCC
4 - 1
SCV
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SCV
0 - 1
AHS
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Blacks Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
OND
1 - 0
BPF
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
BPF
3 - 2
GAD
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 1
URA
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
UPD
3 - 0
BPF
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 0
MFC
5%
13%
82%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | +6 |