SC Retz vs Gloggnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
11º
8º
51
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SCU
0 - 2
SCR
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 1
ARD
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
WAI
3 - 1
SCR
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
3 - 1
SCR
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
4 - 0
SVH
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gloggnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SVG
8 - 0
MAN
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 16 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 4
SVG
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 16 | 52 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVG
3 - 1
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 2
SVG
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SCU
1 - 2
SVG
9%
19%
71%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | -1 |