Austria Fourth Division Lower Austria Round 1

SC Retz vs Ardagger analysis

SC Retz Ardagger
33 ELO 25
7.4% Tilt 4.9%
5872º General ELO ranking 6905º
95º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
67%
SC Retz
19.1%
Draw
13.9%
Ardagger

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
SC Retz
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
Ardagger
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Retz
+84%
-40%
Ardagger

ELO progression

SC Retz
Ardagger
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Retz
SC Retz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2011
SVV
SV Villach
4 - 2
SC Retz
SCR
52%
22%
26%
33 35 2 0
17 Jun. 2011
SCR
SC Retz
3 - 1
Schwadorf
SCH
19%
21%
61%
26 45 19 +7
11 Jun. 2011
BAD
Bad Vöslau
0 - 0
SC Retz
SCR
44%
24%
32%
26 27 1 0
01 Jun. 2011
SCR
SC Retz
4 - 3
Langenrohr
LAN
54%
22%
24%
26 24 2 0
28 May. 2011
SCR
SC Retz
3 - 1
Würmla
WUR
58%
21%
21%
25 23 2 +1

Matches

Ardagger
Ardagger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2011
ARD
Ardagger
4 - 0
Leobendorf
LEO
63%
21%
17%
26 20 6 0
17 Jun. 2011
MIS
Mistelbach
1 - 0
Ardagger
ARD
66%
20%
15%
25 31 6 +1
11 Jun. 2011
ARD
Ardagger
2 - 1
St. Peter
STP
62%
21%
17%
25 19 6 0
01 Jun. 2011
ZWE
Zwettl
0 - 2
Ardagger
ARD
68%
19%
14%
23 28 5 +2
27 May. 2011
ARD
Ardagger
3 - 0
Götzendorf
GOT
37%
25%
38%
22 26 4 +1