Penedense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CEO
4 - 2
PEN
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUR
18%
24%
59%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COR
0 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
CRB
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 2
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CSA
4 - 0
COR
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSA
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ATA
1 - 0
CSA
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 0
COR
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
CSA
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |