Penedense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 3
IGA
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
COR
4 - 0
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSA
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
IPA
4 - 1
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
ASA
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CSA
1 - 2
CRB
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
CSA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CSA
3 - 3
BAH
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CSA
1 - 3
CON
49%
27%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
CON
1 - 1
CSA
44%
29%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |