Penedense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUR
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 0
PEN
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IGA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 2
COR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COR
0 - 0
ASA
15%
22%
64%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
12%
22%
67%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 0
COR
77%
15%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |