Ortmann vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
KRE
2 - 0
SCO
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
SCO
2 - 4
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SCO
3 - 1
LAN
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SVR
1 - 0
SCO
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SCO
3 - 2
SPR
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
ARD
2 - 1
STP
32%
24%
45%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
KOT
1 - 3
ARD
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 1
KRE
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 5
ARD
33%
23%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ARD
4 - 1
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |