Ortmann vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
VOS
2 - 3
SCO
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
SCO
0 - 2
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
SOL
3 - 0
SCO
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
SVS
13%
20%
68%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | +4 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MIS
1 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
ARD
3 - 2
SCH
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ARD
2 - 0
SVH
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SCR
0 - 1
ARD
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
ARD
0 - 0
GOT
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |