Humaitá vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
AFC
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
GAL
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
SEG
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 5
SCH
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCH
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 0
NAU
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 2
SFC
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
SFC
74%
15%
10%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 0
SEG
23%
20%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
SFC
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |