SC Herford vs Arminia Hannover analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Herford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
HOL
0 - 1
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
SCH
1 - 0
WUP
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
OSV
0 - 3
SCH
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SCH
4 - 0
OSC
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
SCH
3 - 1
RWL
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
AHA
1 - 2
WAT
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
KÖL
2 - 1
AHA
76%
14%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1979 |
AHA
1 - 3
VIK
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
RWL
1 - 0
AHA
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
TXA
2 - 1
AHA
11%
18%
72%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |