Hazebrouck vs Gonfreville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hazebrouck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POI
3 - 1
HAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ENT
4 - 3
HAZ
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
OIS
1 - 2
HAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
HAZ
4 - 2
TRO
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
HAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gonfreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GON
2 - 0
ENT
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DIE
4 - 0
GON
68%
20%
13%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |