SC Freiburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
WOL
3 - 0
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 1
STU
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SCF
2 - 2
EIN
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 1
SCF
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SCF
5 - 0
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
PAD
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 1
AUG
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MON
4 - 2
BVB
26%
22%
52%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
LEV
2 - 1
BVB
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 1
M05
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |