Fortuna Köln II vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
12º
65
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KON
3 - 1
SCF
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 2
BFR
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 2
SCF
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BWF
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
WAC
1 - 3
SCF
19%
18%
63%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 1
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VFL
0 - 3
WEG
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 0
SPF
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
WEG
16%
20%
63%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
H05
3 - 0
WEG
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |