Oberliga Mittelrhein round 9

SC Fortuna Köln II vs SpVgg Frechen analysis

SC Fortuna Köln II SpVgg Frechen
44 ELO 44
6.7% Tilt 6.6%
5359º General ELO ranking 4595º
259º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
54.3%
SC Fortuna Köln II
22.2%
Draw
23.5%
SpVgg Frechen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
SC Fortuna Köln II
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
SpVgg Frechen
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Fortuna Köln II
-50%
+13%
SpVgg Frechen

Points and table prediction

SC Fortuna Köln II
Their league position
SpVgg Frechen
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
13º
12º
45
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bonner SC
70
74
100%
SSV Merten
57
60
99%
Siegburger SV 04
52
55
99%
Konigsdorf
45
49
32%
Wegberg-Beeck
47
48
36%
SpVgg Frechen
45
48
42%
VfL Vichttal
38
42
62.5%
Bergisch Gladbach
38
41
44.5%
FC Teutonia Weiden
35
38
40.5%
SpVg Porz 1919
11º
33
36
10º
18%
Pesch
12º
32
35
11º
25%
SC Fortuna Köln II
10º
33
35
12º
25%
Hürth
13º
32
35
13º
32.5%
Hennef 05
14º
30
33
14º
64%
FV Endenich
15º
23
24
15º
67%
Union Schafhausen
16º
22
23
16º
67%
Expected probabilities
SC Fortuna Köln II
SpVgg Frechen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
98.5% 100%
Relegation
1.5% 0%

ELO progression

SC Fortuna Köln II
SpVgg Frechen
Siegburger SV 04
FC Teutonia Weiden
Hürth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Fortuna Köln II
SC Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
VFL
VfL Vichttal
1 - 3
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
56%
21%
24%
44 45 1 0
06 Oct. 2024
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
3 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
33%
25%
42%
41 47 6 +3
29 Sep. 2024
BSC
Bonner SC
2 - 0
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
70%
18%
12%
42 55 13 -1
22 Sep. 2024
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
7 - 1
FV Endenich
FVE
60%
20%
20%
41 37 4 +1
15 Sep. 2024
SIE
Siegburger SV 04
1 - 0
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
52%
23%
25%
41 46 5 0

Matches

SpVgg Frechen
SpVgg Frechen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
1 - 0
Hennef 05
H05
52%
22%
26%
42 39 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
USC
Union Schafhausen
1 - 1
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
31%
22%
47%
42 34 8 0
29 Sep. 2024
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
1 - 0
SpVg Porz 1919
SPV
61%
18%
21%
42 35 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
MER
SSV Merten
4 - 0
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
34%
24%
42%
45 38 7 -3
15 Sep. 2024
VFL
VfL Vichttal
1 - 3
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
73%
16%
12%
43 50 7 +2