Oberliga Mittelrhein round 9

SC Fortuna Köln II vs SpVgg Frechen analysis

SC Fortuna Köln II SpVgg Frechen
44 ELO 44
6.7% Tilt 6.6%
5362º General ELO ranking 4605º
259º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
54.3%
SC Fortuna Köln II
22.2%
Draw
23.5%
SpVgg Frechen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
SC Fortuna Köln II
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
SpVgg Frechen
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Fortuna Köln II
-55%
+12%
SpVgg Frechen

Points and table prediction

SC Fortuna Köln II
Their league position
SpVgg Frechen
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
13º
11º
45
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bonner SC
73
76
100%
SSV Merten
57
60
95.5%
Siegburger SV 04
52
55
95.5%
Konigsdorf
45
49
27%
Wegberg-Beeck
48
48
35.5%
SpVgg Frechen
45
48
48.5%
VfL Vichttal
38
42
58%
Bergisch Gladbach
38
41
41%
FC Teutonia Weiden
35
38
45.5%
SpVg Porz 1919
11º
33
36
10º
26%
SC Fortuna Köln II
10º
34
35
11º
25%
Pesch
12º
32
35
12º
20%
Hürth
13º
32
35
13º
33%
Hennef 05
14º
30
31
14º
61.5%
FV Endenich
15º
23
24
15º
62%
Union Schafhausen
16º
22
23
16º
62%
Expected probabilities
SC Fortuna Köln II
SpVgg Frechen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
99.5% 100%
Relegation
0.5% 0%

ELO progression

SC Fortuna Köln II
SpVgg Frechen
Siegburger SV 04
FC Teutonia Weiden
Hürth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Fortuna Köln II
SC Fortuna Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
VFL
VfL Vichttal
1 - 3
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
56%
21%
24%
44 45 1 0
06 Oct. 2024
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
3 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
33%
25%
42%
41 47 6 +3
29 Sep. 2024
BSC
Bonner SC
2 - 0
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
70%
18%
12%
42 55 13 -1
22 Sep. 2024
SCF
SC Fortuna Köln II
7 - 1
FV Endenich
FVE
60%
20%
20%
41 37 4 +1
15 Sep. 2024
SIE
Siegburger SV 04
1 - 0
SC Fortuna Köln II
SCF
52%
23%
25%
41 46 5 0

Matches

SpVgg Frechen
SpVgg Frechen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
1 - 0
Hennef 05
H05
52%
22%
26%
42 39 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
USC
Union Schafhausen
1 - 1
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
31%
22%
47%
42 34 8 0
29 Sep. 2024
SPF
SpVgg Frechen
1 - 0
SpVg Porz 1919
SPV
61%
18%
21%
42 35 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
MER
SSV Merten
4 - 0
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
34%
24%
42%
45 38 7 -3
15 Sep. 2024
VFL
VfL Vichttal
1 - 3
SpVgg Frechen
SPF
73%
16%
12%
43 50 7 +2