SC Ell vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
41.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ELL
0 - 6
SYR
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
ELL
1 - 5
LOR
16%
17%
67%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ELL
0 - 3
MON
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KOP
3 - 5
ELL
9%
14%
78%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ELL
0 - 5
JEU
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
HOS
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JUS
3 - 1
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MER
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRE
5 - 3
MER
10%
15%
76%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 1
MER
87%
10%
3%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | 0 |