Austria Lustenau vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
8º
55
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 2
SCA
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 1
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 1
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
SCA
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 1
WAT
26%
24%
51%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RBS
2 - 0
SKA
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RBS
2 - 1
WOL
50%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 2
RBS
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
RBS
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
RBS
1 - 0
LIV
4%
12%
84%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | -1 |