Saumur vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 1
SAU
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SAB
1 - 4
SAU
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SAU
0 - 0
FON
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 2
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
STA
9%
19%
72%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
DIN
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LIF
1 - 4
MON
13%
18%
68%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
STA
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
STA
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |