Saturn-Master Sub 16 vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sub 16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
71.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
14º
11º
49
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn-Master Sub 16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAT
3 - 1
STR
58%
19%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SAT
0 - 7
ROS
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAT
0 - 3
CHE
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAT
2 - 1
ZEN
5%
9%
86%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KRA
3 - 2
SAT
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva Sub 16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
SSZ
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KON
1 - 2
LOK
9%
14%
77%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 1
DIN
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
3 - 2
LOK
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 2
LOK
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |