Sarre-Union vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
SAR
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
4 - 0
ILL
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
STR
4 - 1
SAR
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
VAU
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 3
SAR
20%
19%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAN
3 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 0
NAN
57%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 0
LUN
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BIE
1 - 3
NAN
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 0
NAN
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |