Sarre-Union vs Besancon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
13º
9º
28
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 1
SAR
38%
23%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
SOC
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 2
BRC
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
JUR
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Besancon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BFC
0 - 0
OBE
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PON
2 - 1
BFC
55%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BFC
0 - 0
THA
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BFC
0 - 1
BRC
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
3 - 1
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |