Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
10º
10º
21
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
0 - 2
S08
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HÄC
0 - 4
S08
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
S08
0 - 0
MJÄ
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
HAM
1 - 2
S08
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
S08
0 - 0
BRY
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
VIF
3 - 1
VKG
41%
23%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BBS
2 - 1
VIF
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 4
TRO
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
VIF
0 - 1
STR
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
FHH
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |