Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 6-0
Sarpsborg 08 vs ÍBV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
IBV
0 - 4
S08
19%
21%
60%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
S08
4 - 1
RAN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
KRI
1 - 1
S08
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
S08
2 - 3
TRO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
RAN
2 - 1
S08
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
IBV
0 - 4
S08
19%
21%
60%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
IBV
72%
16%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
IBV
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VIK
1 - 2
IBV
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 1
IBV
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |